Sunday, December 28, 2008

Best Sell - RELIANCE

It has raised huge capital in debt to put up the new refinery, which will remain underutilised due to economic slowdown and will not be able to breakeven in the near future due to low petroleum product prices even if it exports all its output. The bottomline of RIL will be hit badly to repay the debt it has raised. Likely price of RIL - Rs.500/- for next one year.

Sell list

SYMBOL LTP
Target



3MINDIA 950.00 499.8
ABB 435.90 223.4
ABHISHEK 16.95 16.6
ABIRLANUVO 590.20 225
ADANIENT 289.85 102
ADVANTA 547.40 24.8
AFL 62.05 57.4
ALEMBICLTD 31.50 15
ALFALAVAL 926.30 520.8
ALLCARGO 614.40 409
APOLLOHOSP 426.15 192.4
APTECHT 85.35 23.2
ARCHIES 55.30 1.4
ARL 1.25 0.8
ARVIND 15.90 3.4
ASHAPURMIN 25.65 11.8
ASIANPAINT 867.30 458.2
ASTRAMICRO 47.50 16.6
ASTRAZEN 477.45 318.2
ATFL 91.75 58.8
ATLASCYCLE 85.30 49.4
AUTOIND 69.60 44.6
AVAYAGCL 84.85 13.4
AVENTIS 894.70 751.2
AVTNPL 66.65 44.6
AXISBANK 482.80 402
AXIS-IT&T 13.20 1.6
BAGFILMS 14.05 4.8
BAJAJFINSV 133.65 34
BAJAUTOFIN 65.45 41.4
BALRAMCHIN 44.70 13.2
BANG 153.35 16.4
BANSWRAS 13.50 1.8
BATAINDIA 92.05 89
BEL 688.15 315.8
BEML 311.10 182.8
BEPL 9.00 0.4
BERGEPAINT 33.85 32.8
BGRENERGY 141.15 112.8
BHAGYNAGAR 14.50 12
BHARATFORG 78.90 33.6
BHARTIARTL 686.40 384.4
BHEL 1300.60 408.6
BIRLACOT 4.00 0.4
BLUEDART 405.90 288.6
BOC 129.70 91
BONGAIREFN 41.50 9.6
BOSCHLTD 3060.90 2360
BRITANNIA 1252.90 783.8
BSELINFRA 13.60 1.6
BURNPUR 9.65 2
CADILAHC 272.60 240.6
CAIRN 159.70 3.6
CALSOFT 34.50 11.4
CAMBRIDGE 72.85 33
CARBORUNIV 83.90 52.6
CASTROL 325.75 230.4
CENTUM 32.95 11
CENTURYPLY 30.70 27
CHAMBLFERT 35.20 34.2
CINEMAX 38.80 31.4
CIPLA 181.95 75
COLPAL 405.10 199.2
CRISIL 2392.05 2133.6
CROMPGREAV 130.10 99
CUMMINSIND 197.80 184
DABUR 83.10 40.8
DABURPHARM 36.60 7.4
DCB 20.35 7.4
DCMFINSERV 2.55 2.4
DCMSRMCONS 29.90 14.4
DELTACORP 29.70 18.2
DISHMAN 140.95 113
DIVISLAB 1284.35 716.4
DLF 275.45 156.8
DRREDDY 468.25 355.4
DYNACONS 0.50 0.4
DYNAMATECH 498.05 240
ECEIND 165.00 105.2
EDELWEISS 272.25 29.2
EDUCOMP 2408.25 488
EICHERMOT 231.30 194.6
EIHOTEL 124.85 35.4
EKC 180.75 66.6
EMAMILTD 223.00 74.8
EMKAY 35.30 8.6
ENGINERSIN 465.70 416
ESSAROIL 83.00 9.4
ESSARSHIP 33.65 23.2
EVEREADY 14.05 13.8
EVERONN 232.85 150.4
EVINIX 3.30 2.6
EXIDEIND 46.25 40
FACT 17.90 6
FCH 164.90 6.8
FINCABLES 22.40 12.2
FMGOETZE 37.25 21.2
FOSECOIND 285.00 265.4
FOURSOFT 14.70 7.8
GAMMNINFRA 82.45 11
GATI 39.75 9
GDL 83.90 81
GEOJIT 25.35 9.4
GILLETTE 717.65 306
GKW 31.25 11.2
GLAXO 1127.80 584
GLENMARK 297.90 97
GLFL 3.15 0.8
GLORY 193.10 31
GMRINFRA 67.85 7.2
GODREJCP 144.10 53.4
GODREJIND 65.50 5.2
GOKEX 88.65 82.2
GOLDTECH 34.20 18.2
GRUH 98.25 89.8
GSKCONS 530.85 471.8
GSPL 29.50 21.6
GTL 205.95 72.4
GTLINFRA 28.65 3
GUFICBIO 4.00 1.6
GUJSIDHCEM 8.10 3.4
GULFOILCOR 39.75 20
GVKPIL 19.85 1.8
HCC 47.25 38.2
HCLTECH 112.95 70.2
HDFC 1449.05 689.4
HDFCBANK 972.80 462
HEROHONDA 790.75 580
HEXAWARE 19.75 17.8
HINDOILEXP 59.05 40.6
HINDUJAFO 68.30 53.6
HINDUNILVR 252.10 101.4
HORIZONINF 402.00 21.4
HOTELRUGBY 4.90 0.2
HTMEDIA 68.70 46.2
IBREALEST 128.95 4.4
ICICIBANK 417.35 200
ICRA 404.75 326.6
IDEA 48.25 32
INDHOTEL 43.00 32.4
INDIABULLS 143.80 109.6
INDIAGLYCO 62.10 11.8
INDRAMEDCO 24.15 23.8
INDUSINDBK 36.05 30.8
INFOSYSTCH 1109.25 924.8
INOXLEISUR 29.85 17.2
IRB 130.95 2.8
ITC 170.65 81.8
ITDCEM 87.10 56
IVC 114.20 88.2
JAGRAN 56.55 36
JAICORPLTD 83.85 44.6
JAYPEEHOT 70.85 21.4
JINDRILL 237.65 181.4
JISLJALEQS 349.95 149
JMFINANCIL 26.80 18.4
JPASSOCIAT 73.65 51.4
KAJARIACER 30.25 22.2
KALINDEE 137.85 133.2
KALSTEELS 56.85 50.6
KAUSHALYA 10.50 7.4
KBL 81.25 35.8
KERNEX 70.90 33.6
KGL 16.00 2.4
KHAITANELE 32.90 4.6
KKCL 142.00 109
KOHINOOR 85.00 41
KOTAKBANK 338.55 58.6
KOTHARIPET 8.70 0.6
KOUTONS 465.80 199.2
KSK 164.40 26.6
KSOILS 51.85 49.2
LAKSHVILAS 69.45 46
LAOPALA 17.30 9.4
LIBERTSHOE 40.10 26.4
LITL 135.55 81.4
LPDC 4.85 0.4
LT 744.60 647.2
LUPIN 589.75 578.8
M&MFIN 207.10 127.8
MAGMA 205.00 187
MAHLIFE 177.80 102.4
MANALIPETC 7.30 3.2
MANGTIMBER 17.00 11.2
MARICO 52.95 27.6
MAX 115.45 22.8
MAYTASINFR 166.60 125.4
MCDOWELL-N 894.10 421.2
MINDTREE 234.45 122.6
MLL 30.50 18.8
MOTHERSUMI 64.30 21.2
MRO-TEK 26.00 20.2
MTNL 79.40 65.8
MUKTAARTS 49.45 9.4
MUNDRAPORT 305.45 104.4
NAGARFERT 15.60 7
NAHARSPING 23.35 14.6
NANDAN 1.05 1
NAUKRI 409.70 209.8
NEPCMICON 5.50 2.4
NETWORK18 93.90 64
NEULANDLAB 105.00 32.2
NEYVELILIG 62.55 56.8
NIRMA 103.75 51.6
NITINFIRE 215.30 133
NMDC 156.35 97.2
NOIDATOLL 20.50 15.8
NORTHGATE 60.55 54
NOVOPANIND 20.00 8.8
NRBBEARING 41.50 13.2
NSIL 485.25 349.2
NTPC 176.80 93
ONMOBILE 215.30 100
ONWARDTEC 12.00 5.2
ORBITCORP 59.80 58.4
PAGEIND 329.55 306.4
PANORAMUNI 220.00 136
PANTALOONR 204.75 87.4
PAPERPROD 31.15 25.8
PARACABLES 9.40 7.2
PFC 123.20 109
PGHH 754.95 446
PHOENIXLTD 80.55 70.8
PIDILITIND 105.00 68
PIRHEALTH 232.75 114
PNC 18.25 0.8
POWERGRID 80.60 33.4
PRAJIND 61.25 59.8
PRIMESECU 15.25 9.4
PTC 63.25 45.4
PUNJLLOYD 142.10 107.2
RADICO 65.50 25
RAJTV 38.45 4.6
RANEENGINE 47.30 18
RCOM 204.80 72.8
REDINGTON 103.05 83.6
RELCAPITAL 514.90 425.2
RELIANCE 1210.15 500
RELINFRA 543.05 457.4
RENUKA 64.70 25.8
REVATHI 431.20 148
RIIL 356.15 137
RML 33.30 6.4
RNRL 53.20 4.4
RPOWER 114.50 9
SANGHIIND 26.00 10.4
SAPL 7.90 5.8
SAREGAMA 56.00 15.4
SBIN 1243.10 1230.6
SHARRESLTD 76.50 14.6
SHREEASHTA 502.35 163.2
SHRENUJ 24.00 15.6
SHRIRAMCIT 350.00 229.4
SHRIRAMEPC 147.10 66.6
SHYAMTEL 46.35 33.6
SIEMENS 269.05 234.2
SINTEX 188.80 165.4
SKUMARSYNF 23.20 16.2
SOFTPRO 105.25 51
SOLAREX 299.20 129.6
SOLEMS 38.80 24.6
SPLIL 5.70 4.8
STCINDIA 121.75 113.4
STER 249.45 231.6
STERLINBIO 158.95 99.8
STRTECH 62.70 45.6
SUNPHARMA 1056.80 564
SUNTV 164.55 107
SURANATELE 23.40 17.4
SUVEN 13.20 11.2
SUZLON 56.85 13.6
TANTIACONS 41.00 22.6
TATACOFFEE 156.70 123.2
TATACOMM 499.85 92
TATAPOWER 730.40 375.6
TATATEA 577.25 263.6
TCI 36.75 31.6
TFL 9.05 4.4
THEMISMED 73.20 55.6
THOMASCOOK 42.55 28
TIRUMALCHM 71.40 43.8
TITAN 900.60 537.8
TORNTPOWER 70.30 68.4
TRENT 318.30 120.4
TRIVENI 43.45 40
TV-18 79.35 10.2
TVSELECT 16.20 5
TVSMOTOR 22.20 14.8
TVTODAY 71.55 57.8
UBHOLDINGS 100.60 68
UBL 78.05 2.6
UMITL 2.85 1.4
UNIPHOS 104.10 63.6
UTVSOF 258.10 40
VIJAYABANK 32.15 1.4
VIJSHAN 17.75 15.4
VITLINFO 301.55 80.4
WANBURY 41.10 17.4
WELSPUNIND 20.30 3.4
WIPRO 226.65 185.6
WOCKPHARMA 106.90 67
XPROINDIA 15.70 13.2
ZANDUPHARM 6884.95 3168.4
ZEEL 138.25 86.8
ZEENEWS 34.95 17.6
ZENITHCOMP 15.30 4.6
ZICOM 91.35 77

Sunday, December 21, 2008

Hold your cash

Market is going to be much cheaper next year. All the shares are going to be available at half the price they are now. Primarily for the following reasons.

i. Industrial growth is going to slow down by more than 2% due to economic slump along with GDP. Sectors taking a major hit are - real estate, aviation , hospitality , auto, metal, FMCG, retail, Pvt. banks (miniscule deposit and virtually nil interest income due to no loan takers) and to a large extent engineering goods. Pharma to remain neutral to slump - best buy in dips.

ii. Crude going to come down further to USD $20 per barrel - due to slowdown. Major beneficiary - PSU OMCs including ONGC (subsidy burden equivalent to nil). Major loser RIL - GRM being badly hit.

iii. Post skirmish with Pakistan (may begin as early on 25/12) which may blown up to full scale war and if US and its allies join in and China on the other side with Pakistan, may begin the onset of WW III, the overall economic situation across the globe going to be bad for 5 years at the least.